Morgan Stanley Investment Management - Mon, 08/12/2024 - 12:30

Pattern Recognition: Opportunities and Limits

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  • We explore the powers and perils of pattern recognition, which investors often cite as a basis for action.
  • While it can be powerful when applied appropriately, it can also be misleading and lead to overconfidence.
  • We define pattern recognition, discuss when it tends to work well, review why it may be misleading, and offer ways to help improve it.
  • Pattern recognition tends to work well in stable environments where cause and effect are clear and feedback is effective but poorly where causality and feedback are limited.  
     

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Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s Insurance Solutions team proudly supports our insurance clients with bespoke investment solutions and a comprehensive range of strategies that align well with insurers’ investment objectives and risk tolerances. We provide risk-based capital efficient solutions across public and private market strategies, and add value through thought leadership across insurance research, portfolio management, strategic asset allocation, reporting, risk management, and rating agency/regulatory considerations.

Joel Cramer, CFA
Managing Director, Head of North American Insurance Solutions
joel.cramer@morganstanley.com
Office: 312 706 4216
Mobile: 630 222 6765

www.morganstanley.com
 
1585 Broadway,
New York, NY 10036

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